The TRAM Simulation ended up with the following conference championship games:
Notably, most of these are rematches. UCF beats Tulane twice. Texas and Oklahoma State split their series. Western Kentucky sweeps Rice. Toledo and Buffalo each snag a victory against each other. Boise State beats Fresno State again. Oregon gets revenge over Utah 2 weeks after a 3-point loss. Alabama gets revenge on Tennessee when it matters most. That's 7/10 championship games as rematches, with the original winner going 3-4.
If this simulation comes to fruition, we're in for a wild ride in the Big 12. At the end of the regular season, before the conference championships, the Big 12 ended in a 5-way tie for first! Texas, TCU, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, and Kansas State all finished 7-2 in-conference, with the 2 losses coming against other tied teams. After going through the tie-breakers multiple times, Texas and Oklahoma State emerged as the top 2 teams thanks to point-differential in games amongst tied teams.
Everywhere around the conference is just as wacky as the top. Oklahoma finishes 5-7, only beating West Virginia down the road. Kansas doesn't win again, finishing 5-7 as well.
Future Big 12 teams also don't fare well outside of AAC Champ UCF. Cincinnati and Houston struggle down the road to finish 7-5. BYU also limps to the finish line, going 5-7.
This simulation finishes with 2 undefeated Power 5 conference champions (Ohio State and Clemson) and only 1 1-loss P5 champ (Alabama). Those 3 would be locks to get in. The remaining contenders would probably boil down to 11-2 Pac-12 champ Oregon, 12-1 SEC runner-up Tennessee, and 4 teams that finished 11-1, but didn't play for the conference championship: Georgia, Wake Forest, USC, and Michigan. It's hard to see a scenario where Tennessee doesn't make it in as the 4th team, which would mark the 3rd time the SEC has had 2 teams in the playoff.
South Alabama had 5 games simulated. Their results were:
4/5 games are projected to be 1-score games, with 2 games being projected as wins by a single point.
Each team for every game is given a game rating to determine TRAM Score. This simulation was no different. The higher a team's rating, the better they played. Generally, the best/most exciting games occur when both teams score high. In only 9 games did both teams score higher than 0.7, with 4 of those games being projected to be a 1-score game. Those 4 games are:
The Demon Deacons, winners of 3 of those games, are looking like must-see tv down the stretch.